MLB STATISTICS

Projected M/L:

- Fair value of the moneyline as determined by mathematical models. This number is extrapolated directly from a projected winning percentage. Compare this number to the moneyline offered by sportsbooks to identify line value.

Projected W%:

- The "True Winning Percentage" as determined by mathematical models.

Total:

- Projected total for the game.

ERA & SIERA:

- Earned Run Average: An incomplete metric that simply measures the total number of runs allowed per 9 innings pitched.
- Skill Interactive Earned Run Average: Probably the most complete metric designed around the ERA scale to measure a pitchers skill independent of fielding, luck and umpiring.

FIP & xFIP:

- FIP | Fielding Independent Pitching: Measures what a pitchers ERA should be assuming that performance on balls hit in play were at league average levels.
- xFIP | "Expected" FIP: Same metric as FIP except it replaces the pitcher's Home Run total with the total number of HR's they should have allowed using league average HR/FB rate.

BA & BABIP:

- BA | Batting Average: Measures the percentage of safe hits against the total number of at bats.
- BABIP | Batting Average Balls In Play: Measures how many balls hit into play (excluding home runs) go for hits. This number tends to regress to .300 as sample size increases.

BB% & K%:

- BB% | Walk Percentage: The percentage of at bats that end in a walk.
- K% | Strikeout Percentage: The percentage of at bats that end in a strikeout.

GB/FB & HR/FB:

- GB / FB | Ground Balls / Fly Balls: The number of ground balls induced for every 1 fly ball allowed.
- HR / FB | Home Runs / Fly Balls: The percentage of fly balls that result in a home run.

wOBA & ISO & UBR:

- wOBA | Weighted On Base Average: Combines all aspects of hitting (BB, 1B, 2B, 3B, HR) into one metric by assigning weights to each group relative to their actual run value.
- ISO | Isolated Power: A measure of a teams ability to hit for extra bases. (Extra Bases / At Bats)
- UBR | Ultimate Base Running: Measures the runs gained or lost by base running.

Record:

- Wins: The total number of wins.
- Losses: The total number of losses.
- W/L% | Winning Percentage: Percentage of games played won.
- SOS | Strength of Schedule: The strength of a team's schedule. Ranked: #1 = Hardest | #30 = Easiest
- Luck: Wins +/- Pythagorean Record. Pythagorean record is an expected record based on the team's run differential.

Run Totals:

- R | Runs Scored: The average number of runs scored in each game.
- RA | Runs Allowed: The average number of runs allowed in each game.
- R-DIF | Run Differential: The average margin of victory (or defeat) in each game.

MLB STATISTICS

Projected M/L:

- Fair value of the moneyline as determined by mathematical models. This number is extrapolated directly from a projected winning percentage. Compare this number to the moneyline offered by sportsbooks to identify line value.

Projected W%:

- The "True Winning Percentage" as determined by mathematical models.

Total:

- Projected total for the game.

ERA & SIERA:

- Earned Run Average: An incomplete metric that simply measures the total number of runs allowed per 9 innings pitched.
- Skill Interactive Earned Run Average: Probably the most complete metric designed around the ERA scale to measure a pitchers skill independent of fielding, luck and umpiring.

FIP & xFIP:

- FIP | Fielding Independent Pitching: Measures what a pitchers ERA should be assuming that performance on balls hit in play were at league average levels.
- xFIP | "Expected" FIP: Same metric as FIP except it replaces the pitcher's Home Run total with the total number of HR's they should have allowed using league average HR/FB rate.

BA & BABIP:

- BA | Batting Average: Measures the percentage of safe hits against the total number of at bats.
- BABIP | Batting Average Balls In Play: Measures how many balls hit into play (excluding home runs) go for hits. This number tends to regress to .300 as sample size increases.

BB% & K%:

- BB% | Walk Percentage: The percentage of at bats that end in a walk.
- K% | Strikeout Percentage: The percentage of at bats that end in a strikeout.

GB/FB & HR/FB:

- GB / FB | Ground Balls / Fly Balls: The number of ground balls induced for every 1 fly ball allowed.
- HR / FB | Home Runs / Fly Balls: The percentage of fly balls that result in a home run.

wOBA & ISO & UBR:

- wOBA | Weighted On Base Average: Combines all aspects of hitting (BB, 1B, 2B, 3B, HR) into one metric by assigning weights to each group relative to their actual run value.
- ISO | Isolated Power: A measure of a teams ability to hit for extra bases. (Extra Bases / At Bats)
- UBR | Ultimate Base Running: Measures the runs gained or lost by base running.

Record:

- Wins: The total number of wins.
- Losses: The total number of losses.
- W/L% | Winning Percentage: Percentage of games played won.
- SOS | Strength of Schedule: The strength of a team's schedule. Ranked: #1 = Hardest | #30 = Easiest
- Luck: Wins +/- Pythagorean Record. Pythagorean record is an expected record based on the team's run differential.

Run Totals:

- R | Runs Scored: The average number of runs scored in each game.
- RA | Runs Allowed: The average number of runs allowed in each game.
- R-DIF | Run Differential: The average margin of victory (or defeat) in each game.